1º Dezembrovs
Caldas
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga 3 · 8/13/2023, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Caldas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
1º Dezembro are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Caldas are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (DWW), averaging 2.33 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Caldas hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the Liga 3, while Caldas holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Caldas
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Caldas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 2.33/1.33