1º Dezembrovs
Amora
COMPLETEDPortugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D · 9/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Amora · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
1º Dezembro 1-1 Amora
Original prediction
Amora
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.71 | 33.1% | 30.5% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.99 | 30.0% | 28.3% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.43 | 36.9% | 41.2% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.99 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Amora
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Amora has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00