1º de Agostovs
FC Luanda
COMPLETEDAngola · Girabola · 9/19/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
1º de Agosto · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: 1º de Agosto 1-0 FC Luanda, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
1º de Agosto 3-2 FC Luanda
Original prediction
1º de Agosto
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 63.4% | 53.3% | -10.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 23.7% | 27.1% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 6.93 | 13.0% | 19.6% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.0 pts
Projected Score
1º de Agosto 1–0 FC Luanda
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
1º de Agosto
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
1º de Agosto has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
1º de AgostoDWWWW
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FC LuandaLWLD
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.75/1.25
BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
1º de AgostoFC Luanda
50.0Attack25.0
75.0Defence58.3
83.3Form33.3
73.7Power41.9
1.34xG0.61