Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HB · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
07 Vestur are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while HB are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and HB hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (34.7 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.1% in the Meistaradeildin, while HB holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HB
Probability
67.1%
Model confidence
67.1%
HB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60