Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
07 Vestur · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
07 Vestur 2-1 B68
Original prediction
07 Vestur
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 40.4% | 43.4% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.6% | 25.8% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 32.0% | 30.8% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
07 Vestur
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
07 Vestur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
07 VesturLWDLD
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
B68WLLDD
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
07 VesturB68
32.0Attack34.7
44.0Defence36.0
29.3Form26.7
37.1Power34.7
1.35xG1.07