Sun 20 Sept, 17:30
COMPLETED
Goalvio Match Preview
Korea DPR U20 W hold a clear model edge over Canada U20 W
Korea DPR U20 W enter this World Cup - U20 - Women fixture as the model favourite, with a 45.35% home-win probability compared with 27.66% for Canada U20 W and 26.99% for a draw. The prediction engine also assigns Korea DPR U20 W 2.45 expected goals and Canada U20 W 1.28 expected goals, pointing to a home-leaning attacking outlook. The match carries a 66.41% BTTS probability and a 70.69% Over 2.5 probability, so the statistical profile supports an open scoring pattern rather than a low-event contest. Korea DPR U20 W’s supplied form is unbeaten, including three wins from three in the recent sample, while the standings show a first-place position with nine points and nine goals scored. Canada U20 W are ranked second with four points, and their recent sample includes three wins, one draw and one loss. The main uncertainty is whether Canada U20 W’s recent scoring output can offset the home side’s stronger rating, form and defensive record.
Key edge
Korea DPR U20 W’s defensive profile is the clearest statistical separator. The home side has conceded 0 goals in its standings record and has a 0.57 goals-against average in the ratings data, while Canada U20 W have conceded 4 standings goals and carry a 1.75 goals-against average.
Biggest risk
The home selection is not conclusive because the home-win probability is 45.35%, below a majority. Canada U20 W have three wins in their recent five-match sample and have scored 14 goals there, providing a credible scoring threat despite the wider rating gap.
Expected match shape
The model points to a home-leaning match with meaningful scoring potential. Korea DPR U20 W have 2.45 expected goals and Canada U20 W have 1.28 expected goals; separately, BTTS is rated at 66.41% and Over 2.5 carries a 70.69% probability.
Match finished
- Korea DPR U20 WTimeCanada U20 W
- Full time
- Ho KyongNormal Goal90+6'
- 90+4'L. TarascoYellow Card
- Choe Rim-JongNormal Goal90+2'
- 86'J. Hernandez-GraySubstitution 5
- Jong Pok-YongGoal Disallowed - offside74'
- Pak Ok-ISubstitution 373'
- 72'J. Hernandez-GrayYellow Card
- 61'B. MutipulaSubstitution 4
- 61'S. BaileySubstitution 3
- Kang Ryu-MiSubstitution 246'
- Ro Un-HyangSubstitution 146'
- 46'T. MelenhorstSubstitution 2
- 46'E. YeeSubstitution 1
- HT