Insights Hub

The model's strongest signals, surfaced daily

Updated just now
208matches analysed today
6active predictions
Today's Biggest Edge
Cupa României
Progresul Mogosoaia
Home
vs
LPS HD Clinceni
Away
1.35xG
+1.05 xG gap
0.3xG
82%18%
Projected: 1-0Prob gap: 60.7pp
Match Intelligence

Biggest xG Edges Today

Matches with the largest projected goal-threat advantage

All Predictions
Progresul MogosoaiavsLPS HD Clinceni
Cupa României
Progresul MogosoaiaLPS HD Clinceni
1.35
xG
vs
0.3
xG
+1.05 gap
Predicted score: 1-0
Johnstone BurghvsTroon FC
Football League - Lowland League
Johnstone BurghTroon FC
1.31
xG
vs
0.3
xG
+1.01 gap
Predicted score: 2-0
Lech PoznanAarhus
1.23
xG
vs
0.3
xG
+0.93 gap
Predicted score: 2-1
KVZvsAl Hilal Omdurman
CECAFA Club Cup
Al Hilal OmdurmanKVZ
1.14
xG
vs
0.3
xG
+0.84 gap
Predicted score: 0-1
Municipal LimeñovsInca Aruba
Primera Division
Municipal LimeñoInca Aruba
1.13
xG
vs
0.3
xG
+0.83 gap
Predicted score: 1-0

Momentum Leaders

Teams with the highest form scores right now

Power Ratings
78form
↓ Poor form
WWD
View team profile
78form
↓ Poor form
DWW
View team profile
78form
↓ Poor form
WDW
View team profile
67form
↓ Poor form
WLW
View team profile

Highest Confidence Predictions

Today's strongest model calls, ranked by certainty

All Predictions
#1
Progresul MogosoaiavsLPS HD Clinceni
Cupa României
🏠 Progresul Mogosoaia
High
Score: 1-0
Mogosoaia 71% · Draw 19% · Clinceni 10%
#2
Johnstone BurghvsTroon FC
Football League - Lowland League
🏠 Johnstone Burgh
Medium
Score: 2-0
Burgh 70% · Draw 21% · FC 9%
#3
🏠 Lech Poznan
Medium
Score: 2-1
Poznan 67% · Draw 20% · Aarhus 12%
#4
KVZvsAl Hilal Omdurman
CECAFA Club Cup
✈️ Al Hilal Omdurman
Medium
Score: 0-1
KVZ 15% · Draw 21% · Omdurman 64%
#5
Municipal LimeñovsInca Aruba
Primera Division
🏠 Municipal Limeño
Medium
Score: 1-0
Limeño 64% · Draw 22% · Aruba 14%
#6
🏠 Universitatea Craiova
Medium
Score: 1-0
Craiova 64% · Draw 21% · Sofia 15%

Upset Alerts

Fixtures where the model flags elevated upset potential

All Predictions
Hidro Mecanica SugagvsMetalurgistul Cugir
Cupa României
38%
upset

Extremely tight — Hidro Mecanica Sugag vs Metalurgistul Cugir are almost evenly matched (38% vs 39%). Either side could win.

Sugag 38%Draw 22%Cugir 39%
38%
upset

Extremely tight — FC Copenhagen vs Polessya are almost evenly matched (38% vs 39%). Either side could win.

Copenhagen 38%Draw 23%Polessya 39%
37%
upset

Extremely tight — Slovan Bratislava vs Saburtalo are almost evenly matched (40% vs 37%). Either side could win.

Bratislava 40%Draw 22%Saburtalo 37%
37%
upset

Extremely tight — Kauno Žalgiris vs KI Klaksvik are almost evenly matched (40% vs 37%). Either side could win.

Žalgiris 40%Draw 23%Klaksvik 37%
Recolta Gheorghe DojavsÎnainte Modelu
Cupa României
36%
upset

Extremely tight — Recolta Gheorghe Doja vs Înainte Modelu are almost evenly matched (36% vs 42%). Either side could win.

Doja 36%Draw 22%Modelu 42%

Recent Near Misses

Latest predictions that narrowly failed — and why

Model Accuracy
00
FT

Predicted Rosario Central win — ended level. A single goal would have been correct.

Predicted: Rosario CentralActual: Draw2026-07-29
12
FT

Predicted Kristiansund BK — Start won by a single goal. One moment decided it.

Predicted: Kristiansund BKActual: Start2026-07-25
Deportivo CuencavsEmelec
Liga Pro
21
FT

Predicted Emelec — Deportivo Cuenca won by a single goal. One moment decided it.

Predicted: EmelecActual: Deportivo Cuenca2026-07-28
00
FT

Predicted Mjallby AIF win — ended level. A single goal would have been correct.

Predicted: Mjallby AIFActual: Draw2026-07-28
EsbjergvsKolding IF
1. Division
11
FT

Predicted Esbjerg win — ended level. A single goal would have been correct.

Predicted: EsbjergActual: Draw2026-07-25
All Predictions Power RatingsModel Accuracy